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November/December 2017 The Future of Everything - wsj.com

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With Michael J. Fox, Christopher Lloyd, Lea Thompson, Crispin Glover. Marty McFly, a 17-year-old high school student, is accidentally sent thirty years ...

Early adopters (and lucky reviewers like me) are like the scouts sent out ahead to tell if the road is clear, safe, and ultimately worth traveling. My postcard from the edge of Apple iPhone innovation reads: This is a trip you’ll want to take.

Forecasting is the process of estimating outcomes in uncontrolled situations. Forecasting is applied in many areas, such as weather forecasting , earthquake prediction , transport planning , and labour market planning. Due to the element of the unknown, risk and uncertainty are central to forecasting.

Revolutions create a curious inversion of perception. In ordinary times, people who do no more than describe the world around them are seen as pragmatists, while those who imagine fabulous alternative futures are viewed as radicals. The last couple of decades haven’t been ordinary, however. Inside the papers, the pragmatists were the ones simply looking out the window and noticing that the real world increasingly resembled the unthinkable scenario. These people were treated as if they were barking mad. Meanwhile the people spinning visions of popular walled gardens and enthusiastic micropayment adoption, visions unsupported by reality, were regarded not as charlatans but saviors.

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An article on Monday about Google’s secret engineering lab erroneously attributed a distinction to Sebastian Thrun, a leader at the lab. Though Mr. Thrun developed a driverless car, he was not the first to do so. Others, including the German engineer Ernst Dickmanns, have done pioneering work in developing the robotic automobile.